Friday, July 1, 2016

DailyFX Q3 Forecasts for the FX Majors, Equities and Commodities

DailyFX Q3 Forecasts for the FX Majors, Equities and Commodities

DailyFX Q3 Forecasts for the FX Majors, Equities and Commodities

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 06:28 PM PDT

The second quarter didn't close with the quiet Summer trading conditions that we typically expect.

Video: Expect Dollar, Euro and Pound Volatility in the Week Ahead

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 04:43 PM PDT

While we may find some reprieve from the recent, extreme volatility with an extended holiday weekend; it is unlikely that the quiet will last.

Video: What Record Lows for Global Yields Means for the Market

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 04:30 PM PDT

Sovereign debt is a crucial component of the global financial system, which makes the distortion that has resulted from dramatic monetary policy so unsettling. This past week, we have seen the world's benchmark government bond yields hit record lows.

Increasing Global Recession Worries Test the Reflation Trade For Oil in Q3

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 04:11 PM PDT

Shortly after the EU, referendum in the United Kingdom showed a ‘Vote Leave,’ outcome the price of crude oil declined by 7%. However, given the falling stockpiles and the drop in US crude production, many are wondering if a buying opportunity has arrived.

Stock Markets Poised to Decline Amid Rising Global Risks

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 03:53 PM PDT

World stock markets ended the second quarter on a sobering note and are set to begin the third quarter with reasons for investors to be concerned. Given the interconnectedness of the world’s economies, a number of factors could reflexively spark significant investor angst and continued selling in the third quarter.

Gold Enters 3Q at 2-Year High. Will the Rally Continue?

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 03:31 PM PDT

Gold continued to rise in the second quarter, with prices hovering near a two-year high ahead of the midyear mark. The markets’ skepticism about the prospects for further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve appears to account for the metals gains.

USD/JPY Losses Viewed on Wait-and-See Policy, Waning Carry Interest

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 03:17 PM PDT

The ongoing depreciation in the USD/JPY exchange rate may continue to fuel speculation for a currency-intervention, but the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may have little choice but to endorse a wait-and-see approach over the coming months amid the growing uncertainties surrounding the world economy.

Brexit is a Game Changer, but Timeline (or lack thereof) the Issue

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 02:57 PM PDT

Coming into the second quarter of 2016, there was one major item on the calendar for the United Kingdom, and that was the Brexit referendum to be held a week before the end of Q2.

US Dollar Reserve Status to Flex Its Muscle?

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 02:36 PM PDT

The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) stuck to its relatively benign 5.8 percent range just below 13-year highs for the fifth consecutive quarter. The fundamental motivation behind the Greenback’s remarkable climb over the preceding five years has clearly lost traction.

Euro Awakes to Brexit Nightmare; Time for a Turn in EUR/USD?

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 01:58 PM PDT

The beginning of the Q3'16 brings nothing good for the Euro.

Silver to Gold Ratio Rally Not Just a Flash in the Pan

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 12:37 PM PDT

The turn higher in the silver/gold ratio is yet another indication that inflation trends have experienced an important shift.

Yuan at Risk on Global Turbulence, Non-Farm Payrolls

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 11:09 AM PDT

The onshore Yuan (CNY) lost -0.64% against the US Dollar to 6.6575, as of 10:30 am EDT on Friday.

EUR/USD Hits First Target- Key Resistance Stands at 1.1230

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 11:01 AM PDT

Euro has taken out our initial targets to close the week just below a near-term resistance confluence. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.

GBP/USD Shrivels Towards Post Brexit Lows

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 09:55 AM PDT

After the monster sell off in GBP/USD in the wake of the Brexit vote, Cable has consolidated those losses and are retesting the Post Brexit collapse lows.

Long Swissy off of Support

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 09:02 AM PDT

Silver Prices Attempt Largest 3 Day Gain in 9 Months

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 08:34 AM PDT

Silver prices are trying to produce its largest 3 day gain since December 2014. The technical patterns point to even higher prices, especially if we close on the highs today.

Three of the Most Pressing Themes for Global Markets in Q3

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 06:44 AM PDT

We're only halfway through the year and we've already seen quite a bit of volatility. As we move into Q3, there are a plethora of risks showing across global markets and today, we look at three of the most pressing themes.

Will Dow Jones Completely Retrace Brexit Collapse?

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 06:34 AM PDT

A 2 day sell off of nearly 6% from last Friday to this Monday in the Dow Jones Industrial Average has led to a Brexit bounce reclaiming most of the collapse

CAC 40 Opens Modestly Higher

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 06:31 AM PDT

The CAC 40 has opened higher, after bouncing from pivot support at 4,236.40.

Upbeat ISM Manufacturing Survey to Fuel EUR/USD Losses

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 03:00 AM PDT

Another unexpected uptick in the ISM Manufacturing survey may spur a near-term decline in EUR/USD as boosts bets for a Fed rate-hike.

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Preparing to Reverse Lower?

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 02:38 AM PDT

The Euro is treading water against the British Pound after jumping to the highest level in over two years following the UK “Brexit” referendum.

USD/JPY Edging Lower as We Approach The Weekend

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 02:05 AM PDT

The USD/JPY is edging lower after correcting more than 50 percent of the “Brexit” decline, as we enter a possible reduced liquidity environment

US Dollar May Rise Alongside Yen as Risk Aversion Builds Anew

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 12:20 AM PDT

The US Dollar may rise alongside the Japanese Yen as risk aversion builds anew, fueling safe-haven demand for the benchmark currency.

Gold Prices May Renew Rally as Yields Decline in Risk-Off Trade

Posted: 01 Jul 2016 12:08 AM PDT

Gold prices may rise anew as yields decline amid renewed risk aversion. Crude oil may be vulnerable despite short-term decoupling from sentiment trends.

Australian Dollar Brushes Off Worse-Than-Expected China PMIs

Posted: 30 Jun 2016 09:51 PM PDT

The Australian Dollar was little changed against its major counterparts after a worse-than-expected Chinese Caixin PMI reading. An RBA rate decision is on the horizon.
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