Monday, March 14, 2016

FOMC Distracts but Systemic Issues and Key Event Risk on Hand

FOMC Distracts but Systemic Issues and Key Event Risk on Hand

FOMC Distracts but Systemic Issues and Key Event Risk on Hand

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 06:50 PM PDT

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading.

Impending Fed Decision Makes Dollar, Equity Trades Very Risky

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 04:40 PM PDT

The Dollar posted a tentative recovery from its key technical break this past week and the climb in risk trends stalled.

Psychology: Optimism - Good for Life, Hazardous for Trading

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 04:00 PM PDT

Trader psychology is a critical ingredient to successful navigation of the markets.

Stocks Look to Rally Further Until this Changes

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:10 PM PDT

Heavily one-sided positions warn that the S&P 500 and German DAX are at or near important highs. But here’s why we still think they’re worth buying.

S&P 500 Remains a Buy

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:05 PM PDT

Aggressive retail selling of the SPX500, which tracks the fair value of S&P 500 futures prices, acts as strong contrarian signal that the US equity index will likely continue higher through the foreseeable future.

German DAX Targets Further Highs until this Changes

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:05 PM PDT

Retail traders continue to sell aggressively into gains for the GER30, which tracks the German DAX, and a contrarian view of ‘crowd’ sentiment leaves us in favor of buying into DAX gains.

Gold Price Forecast May have Finally Turned

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:05 PM PDT

Our retail forex trader data shows the majority of traders remain short Gold prices versus the US Dollar, and a contrarian view of crowd sentiment has led us to call for continued price gains.

Australian Dollar Outlook Unclear until this Changes

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:05 PM PDT

Retail FX traders remain heavily short the Australian Dollar, and overall the trend favors continued AUD/USD gains.

British Pound Outlook Calls for Further Declines

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:05 PM PDT

Our retail forex trader data shows that the majority of traders remain long the British Pound versus the US Dollar, and a contrarian view of herd sentiment leaves us calling for price weakness.

Euro Forecast to Stay Below Key Price Resistance Levels

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 12:05 PM PDT

Retail FX traders have most recently sold into Euro/US Dollar strength as it trades near important range highs.

COT-Largest Position Change for Copper...Ever

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 11:52 AM PDT

Last week’s change in hedger activity and trend follower activity for copper was the largest ever. (trend followers bought and hedgers sold). Major shifts in positioning often indicate at least near term capitulation.

Setups in AUDJPY, AUDCHF, GBPUSD Ahead of FOMC

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 11:16 AM PDT

We've reacted to near-term confluence resistance & while the immediate bias is lower, we'll be looking for this pullback to offer more favorable long entries

AUD/JPY Fails at Resistance Ahead of RBA Minutes- Support 84.72

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 10:43 AM PDT

AUDJPY is responding to a near-term resistance confluence but the broader outlook remains constructive. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.

EUR/USD Retail FX Remain Net-Short; Bear Trap or Continuation?

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 09:58 AM PDT

The retail FX crowd remains net-short EUR/USD following the ECB meeting despite the near-term breakout in the exchange rate.

China’s Market News: ABS on Non-Performing Loans Will Be Restricted to Institutional Investors

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 09:50 AM PDT

China’s financial market regulators took questions at the press conference.

Webinar: USDOLLAR FOMC Preview- Key Levels to Know

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 07:51 AM PDT

Setups we’re tracking as we head into major event risk this week. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.

Long-term Low in Silver?

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 07:50 AM PDT

Timing symmetry at January low, Neckline of potential invers H&S pattern acting as resistance.

Chinese Regulators Will Continue to Protect Stock Prices

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 06:33 AM PDT

Chinese regulators made a litany of announcements this weekend, key of which is the continued participation of CSFC to continue supporting stock prices.

Beware the Ides of March; Dow Jones at Risk of Topping

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 05:03 AM PDT

Dow Jones pressed into the target zone, the patterns appear shifting towards an ensuing sell off. Below 17,000 suggests a high is in place.

As Markets Await FOMC, Did the ECB Signal a Détente in FX Wars?

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 05:00 AM PDT

Markets are at a sentiment turning point. The only hurdle happens to be the biggest one of them all: the FOMC meeting this Wednesday.

Silver Prices Are Slightly Higher

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 04:58 AM PDT

The trend of silver prices is upwards above Thursday’s low of $15.16.

The FTSE 100 May Be About To Break Its Range

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 03:00 AM PDT

The FTSE 100 is trading sideways between last week’s low of 6002 and the March 4 high of 6221.

US Indices: S&P 500 Clears 2010, ’Dip-trips’ Preferred Strategy

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 02:21 AM PDT

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Looking to Sell as FOMC Looms

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 01:41 AM PDT

The Australian Dollar spiked to the highest level in eight months against its US namesake, with prices attempting to set up a test of the 0.76 figure.

USD/CNH Technical Analysis: Yuan Hits Three-Month High

Posted: 14 Mar 2016 01:26 AM PDT

The US Dollar came under renewed selling pressure after a brief period of consolidation, dropping to the lowest level in three months against the Chinese Yuan in offshore trade.
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