Monday, February 22, 2016

Forecast - Risk Trends versus Monetary Policy versus Topical News

Forecast - Risk Trends versus Monetary Policy versus Topical News

Forecast - Risk Trends versus Monetary Policy versus Topical News

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 07:00 PM PST

Chief Strategist John Kicklighter discusses the top Forex fundamental themes for the coming week of trading.

Pound Drops on Brexit Headlines, USD Charged for Fed Speculation

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 06:30 PM PST

The FX market opened to considerable volatility this week.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Resistance from 2014 Broken

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 06:22 PM PST

The New Zealand Dollar narrowly edged above resistance limiting gains against its US counterpartsince July 2014, warning that a significant breakout may be in progress.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: 3-Month Trend Line Broken

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 06:02 PM PST

The Australian Dollar edged above trend line resistance capping the upside against its US counterpart since early December, hinting at continued gains ahead.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Short Position Back in Play

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 05:43 PM PST

The Euro succumbed to renewed selling pressure after a brief pause having recoiled from trend line support-turned-resistance set from mid-March.

How Far Do the Yen, Euro and Dollar Crosses Run on Carry Tides?

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 05:15 PM PST

Risk aversion may not yet be a self-sustaining spiral, but the makings of a deeper deleveraging are evident.

USD/CAD Tests 1.37 as Crude Oil Prices Jump Higher

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 12:24 PM PST

USD/CAD falls softly as crude oil prices gush higher. Could support be forming for the Loonie?

USD/JPY Pending Breakout on New Low

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 11:30 AM PST

Cable Gaps Lower; Retail FX Remains Net-Long Ahead of BoE Testimony

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 11:25 AM PST

GBP/USD stands at risk of facing additional headwinds over the next 24-hours of trading should the Bank of England (BoE) endorse a dovish outlook for monetary policy.

Chinese Media Looks For Stock Rebound After Top Regulator Steps Down

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 10:26 AM PST

Chinese stocks gained in the first day after the announcement of a new head of the CSRC (China Securities Regulatory Commission).

Weekly Webinar: USDOLLAR Probes Key Region

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 09:35 AM PST

Setups we’re tracking this week as the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index approaches key resistance. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.

Silver Commercial Net Short Position is Largest Since July 2008

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 09:27 AM PST

Large speculators (trend followers) hold the smallest euro short position since October. Commercial traders (hedgers) hold the smallest long position since June 2014. The COT index is back at 100 which was last registered in August and October.

EUR/USD – Bullish Views Getting Put to the Test

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 07:35 AM PST

EUR/USD probes key support confluence, 1.1020 should prove critical over next couple of days.

Brexit Fears Sink the Pound, and Stocks Continue to Rally

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 06:43 AM PST

After a hopeful agreement between Mr. Cameron and European leadership, matters disintegrated very quickly. It looks like the UK may be in for an eventful summer.

Oil , Copper Jump to Production Control and China New Stimulus

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 04:45 AM PST

Oil jumped on projection of output reduction, while copper recovered with stocks upon China’s new stimulus. Gold faded with safe haven FX

Silver Triggers a Head & Shoulders Pattern

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 04:39 AM PST

Silver prices are lower today as the U.S. Dollar propels itself higher on a decline in the Euro and Pound Sterling, while stock markets remain high, adding to the pressure on silver prices.

Growth Fades, Risk Grows for EUR/USD, GBP/USD

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 04:34 AM PST

Once again, the individual components of the USDOLLAR Index are moving in different directions. It's important to examine their motivating factors.

Brexit Fears Aren’t Slowing the FTSE 100

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 03:00 AM PST

While the GBPUSD is getting hammered this morning, the FTSE 100 (FXCM: UK100) is up by 1.169% at the time of writing.

USD/CNH Technical Analysis: Chart Setup Hints at Bottoming

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 02:04 AM PST

The US Dollar may be preparing to turn higher against the Chinese Yuan in offshore trade after putting in a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern.

DAX 30: Up on U.S. Data and Down on German?

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 01:40 AM PST

The DAX 30 is up by 1.93% at the time of writing on a sturdier global risk-appetite. However, today's soft German PMI may change this.

EUR/USD Little Changed After Weaker February Markit Euro-Zone PMIs

Posted: 22 Feb 2016 01:38 AM PST

The Euro was little changed versus the US Dollar after today’s Markit PMI figures disappointed; market focus elsewhere.

JPN 225 Technical Analysis: Rebound on Pause

Posted: 21 Feb 2016 11:43 PM PST

Sharp rise in JPN 225 abated as momentum waned. Those positioned for a rebound may consider exit if 76.4% Fibonacci does not hold support

Market Sentiment Unfazed as British Pound Drops on Brexit Fears

Posted: 21 Feb 2016 08:49 PM PST

The British Pound was isolated in its negative response to swelling fears a UK exit from the European Union as financial markets’ risk appetite broadly improved.

USD/JPY Steady After Disappointing Manufacturing PMI Data

Posted: 21 Feb 2016 08:17 PM PST

The Yen was little-changed after Japan’s Manufacturing PMI data fell short of expectations as price action in the sentiment-linked currency reflected a recovery in risk appetite.

Data Heavy Week Keeps EUR/USD’s Thematic Tug-of-War in Play

Posted: 21 Feb 2016 07:30 PM PST

Markets will have a better idea of recent Euro-Zone growth developments after this coming week, but the only clarity the Euro may enjoy is that more volatile, sideways trading is ahead.
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